FINDING #3938 · UNIT ID 1158626392
aulekator/Polymarket-BTC-15-Minute-Trading-Bot
A production-grade algorithmic trading bot for Polymarket's 15-minute BTC price prediction markets. Built with a 7-phase architecture combining multiple signal sources, professional risk management, and self-learning capabilities.
SURPRISE SCORE
0.00
Score Breakdown
SCORE = SURPRISE × ENGAGEMENT^0.7 × FRESHNESS × VISIBILITY × CONFIDENCE
SURPRISE = WINDOW STARS / DAYS / (AUDIENCE + FLOOR)
73% OF STARS IN ARCHIVE
[BOT] SUSPECTED STAR BOT — SCORE PENALIZED. SIGNATURES:
S2 · NO EXTERNAL ISSUE/PR AUTHORS DESPITE 100+ STARS
S5 · PREDATES WINDOW, YET HALF+ OF ALL ITS STARS LANDED IN IT
S7 · THIS REPO IS ~ALL OF THE OWNER'S STARS
S10 · S10
Growth Telemetry
VELOCITY /D
4.38
ACCEL
-0.04
RETENTION
7.5%
PEAK 2026-05-14 · FORK-RETENTION 0.0% · 394 STARS / WINDOW
Author Audience
AUDIENCE
81
FOLLOWERS
25
OWNER ★
564
Engagement Signals
FORKS
157
ISSUE AUTH
0
PR AUTH
0
UNIQUE STARGAZERS 394 / 394 (DIVERSITY 1.00)
Why This Is A Finding
aulekator/Polymarket-BTC-15-Minute-Trading-Bot собрал 394 звёзд за окно, тогда как у автора всего 25 подписчиков — эффективная аудитория ≈ 81. Это даёт surprise-индекс 0.0361 (звёзды относительно охвата автора, а не в абсолюте). Удержание форков 0.0% и 0 внешних контрибьюторов отделяют реальный инструмент от разовой вспышки. Акселерация отрицательная — внимание остывает после пика.
Related Findings
RANKS ABOVE 38% OF 6380 FINDINGS
METRICS IN CONTEXT
MEDIAN ACROSS ALL 6380 FINDINGS · Δ vs MEDIAN · PERCENTILE = SHARE RANKED BELOW
METRICVALUEMEDIANΔ MEDPERCENTILE
SCORE0.000.00-0.00ABOVE 38%
VELOCITY4.383.99+0.38ABOVE 53%
RETENTION7.5%17.1%-9.6 PPABOVE 21%
FORKS15790+68ABOVE 65%
SURPRISE0.040.01+0.02ABOVE 85%